Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.93
No48%
ours 2.08
All matches
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CD Castellón — Real Sporting de Gijón, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
CD Castellón
2.5WWWWWReal Sporting de Gijón
1.9LWLLWOutcome probability
622216
CD Castellón62%Draw22%Real Sporting de Gijón16%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CD Castellón1.62—
XDraw4.60—
2Real Sporting de Gijón6.08—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCD CastellónReal Sporting de GijónCombined
Goals scored1.500.502.00
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners9.09.79.3
Cards1.03.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
CD CastellónReal Sporting de Gijón1Table position121Matches in 14 days260.30%Possession49.00%7.9Days of rest8 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
CD Castellón look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 62%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
72%
Form and context
CD Castellón
- awayCD Leganés2:0
- homeCD Tenerife5:0
- awayGirona FC2:1
- homeAlbacete Balompié2:0
- awayReal Club Celta de Vigo II2:1
Real Sporting de Gijón
- awayReal Oviedo0:2
- awayFC Andorra3:1
- homeCD Eldense0:1
- homeGirona FC0:2
- awayCD Tenerife1:0
Head to head
- 03/15/26Segunda División1:4
- 10/05/25Segunda División3:1
- 05/05/25Segunda División4:3
- 10/14/24Segunda División1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1CD Castellón761014:219
CD Castellón761014:2192
SD Eibar760115:618
SD Eibar760115:6183
UD Almería750211:415
UD Almería750211:4154
Burgos CF742111:714
Burgos CF742111:7145
Girona FC741214:813
Girona FC741214:8136
Real Club Deportivo Mallorca74128:313
Real Club Deportivo Mallorca74128:3137
CE Sabadell FC73318:612
CE Sabadell FC73318:6128
Real Oviedo73227:411
Real Oviedo73227:4119
CD Tenerife73228:911
CD Tenerife73228:91110
CD Leganés73226:711
CD Leganés73226:71111
UD Las Palmas731310:1110
UD Las Palmas731310:111012Real Sporting de Gijón73135:610
Real Sporting de Gijón73135:61013
Granada CF722310:118
Granada CF722310:11814
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II72239:108
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II72239:108