Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.49
All matches
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Real Sociedad II — Girona, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Real Sociedad II
1.5LLLWD
Girona
1.4DWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%25%39%
Real Sociedad II36%Draw25%Girona39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Sociedad II2.78—
XDraw4.01—
2Girona2.55—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricReal Sociedad IIGironaCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded1.170.171.34
Corners9.08.78.8
Cards3.01.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Real Sociedad IIGirona
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II 36%, Girona FC 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II 36%Draw 25%Girona FC 39%
1st half
31 · 38 · 30
2nd half
30 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Real Sociedad II
- homeGranada2:3
- awayCeuta1:3
- homeMallorca0:1
- awayAndorra3:1
- homeTenerife1:1
Girona
- homeMallorca0:0
- homeAlbacete2:0
- awayCadiz2:1
- homeCastellon1:2
- awaySporting Gijon2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Castellon862015:320
Castellon862015:3203
Almeria860213:518
Almeria860213:5184Girona842214:814
Girona842214:8145
Mallorca84228:314
Mallorca84228:3146
Burgos842212:914
Burgos842212:9147
Sabadell83418:613
Sabadell83418:6138
Sporting Gijon84138:813
Sporting Gijon84138:8139
Granada832313:1311
Granada832313:131110
Real Oviedo83238:811
Real Oviedo83238:81111
Las Palmas832312:1311
Las Palmas832312:131112
Tenerife832310:1211
Tenerife832310:121113
Leganes83236:1111
Leganes83236:111114
Real Valladolid82338:119
Real Valladolid82338:11915
Cordoba830513:189
Cordoba830513:18916Real Sociedad II822411:138
Real Sociedad II822411:13817
Eldense82248:108
Eldense82248:10818
Celta Vigo II822410:148
Celta Vigo II822410:148Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.