Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.44
All matches
—
Eldense — Granada, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Eldense
1.4WLLWD
Granada
1.7WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%25%31%
Eldense44%Draw25%Granada31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Eldense2.29—
XDraw3.95—
2Granada3.23—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEldenseGranadaCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners10.712.011.3
Cards2.02.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
EldenseGranada
CD Eldense 44%, Granada CF 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
CD Eldense 44%Draw 25%Granada CF 31%
1st half
32 · 39 · 29
2nd half
37 · 38 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Eldense
- homeReal Oviedo4:1
- awayBurgos0:1
- homeEibar1:2
- awaySporting Gijon1:0
- homeMallorca0:0
Granada
- awayReal Sociedad II3:2
- homeAndorra2:3
- awayLeganes2:3
- homeAlbacete1:1
- awayEibar0:3
Head to head
- 01/31/25Segunda División0:3
- 11/09/24Segunda División2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Sabadell83418:613
Sabadell83418:6138
Sporting Gijon84138:813
Sporting Gijon84138:8139Granada832313:1311
Granada832313:131110
Real Oviedo83238:811
Real Oviedo83238:81111
Las Palmas832312:1311
Las Palmas832312:131112
Tenerife832310:1211
Tenerife832310:121113
Leganes83236:1111
Leganes83236:111114
Real Valladolid82338:119
Real Valladolid82338:11915
Cordoba830513:189
Cordoba830513:18916
Real Sociedad II822411:138
Real Sociedad II822411:13817Eldense82248:108
Eldense82248:10818
Celta Vigo II822410:148
Celta Vigo II822410:14819
Cadiz814311:107
Cadiz814311:107Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.