Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
UT Cajamarca — Los Chankas, Primera División
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%26%
UT Cajamarca49%Draw25%Los Chankas26%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UT Cajamarca2.05—
XDraw3.93—
2Los Chankas3.87—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UT CajamarcaLos Chankas
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca 49%, Los Chankas 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca 49%Draw 25%Los Chankas 26%
1st half
33 · 41 · 26
2nd half
49 · 32 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Under 4.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUT CajamarcaLos ChankasCombined
Goals scored1.200.802.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
UT Cajamarca- Winless at home in 7 matches1:2, 0:1, 1:2, 2:4, 1:3
- Relegation zone: 18th of 18
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Los Chankas- Winless away in 7 matches1:4, 0:0, 1:1, 0:5, 0:3
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
UT Cajamarca
- awayCajamarca3:1
- homeMelgar1:2
- awayCienciano0:1
- homeSporting Cristal0:1
- awaySport Huancayo2:3
Los Chankas
- homeCusco0:1
- awayGarcilaso1:4
- homeDeportivo Tarma2:1
- awayAtletico Grau0:0
- awayCienciano1:1
Head to head
- 05/31/26Primera División2:2
- 09/29/25Primera División2:0
- 05/11/25Primera División1:2
- 09/19/24Primera División1:1
- 04/15/24Primera División2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Peru, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.