Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
Los Chankas — Cusco, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
Los Chankas
1.9WDDLL
Cusco
2.5LLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%26%35%
Los Chankas39%Draw26%Cusco35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Los Chankas2.57—
XDraw3.86—
2Cusco2.84—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2721 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2715 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2706 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Los ChankasCusco
Los Chankas 39%, Cusco FC 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Los Chankas 39%Draw 26%Cusco FC 35%
1st half
33 · 38 · 29
2nd half
33 · 42 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Over 7.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLos ChankasCuscoCombined
Goals scored0.801.202.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Los Chankas- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- One win in the last 5 matches2:1, 0:0, 1:1, 1:2, 0:5
Cusco- Led at half-time in 7 of 10 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Los Chankas
- homeDeportivo Tarma2:1
- awayAtletico Grau0:0
- awayCienciano1:1
- homeCajamarca1:2
- awaySporting Cristal0:5
Cusco
- awaySport Huancayo1:2
- homeAlianza Lima1:2
- awayCajamarca2:1
- homeMelgar0:1
- homeUCV Moquegua2:0
Head to head
- 05/10/26Primera División1:1
- 10/04/25Primera División2:1
- 05/17/25Primera División3:3
- 10/17/24Primera División1:2
- 05/04/24Primera División2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Garcilaso29146941:2948
Garcilaso29146941:29485
Cienciano291451049:4047
Cienciano291451049:40476
Los Chankas29137938:4646
Los Chankas29137938:46467
Cusco291431242:4245
Cusco291431242:42458
Sporting Cristal291351153:4244
Sporting Cristal291351153:42449
Alianza Atletico Sullana291271044:4043
Alianza Atletico Sullana291271044:4043Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.