Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
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Alianza Atletico Sullana — Juan Pablo II, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
Alianza Atletico Sullana
2.3WLWWW
Juan Pablo II
1.5WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
61%23%16%
Alianza Atletico Sullana61%Draw23%Juan Pablo II16%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Alianza Atletico Sullana1.63—
XDraw4.35—
2Juan Pablo II6.37—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAlianza Atletico SullanaJuan Pablo IICombined
Goals scored0.501.001.50
Conceded0.670.170.84
Corners10.57.08.8
Cards1.52.54.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Alianza Atletico SullanaJuan Pablo II
Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 61%, Juan Pablo II College 16%. The safest is “Club Alianza Atlético Sullana or draw” at 82%.
Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 61%Draw 23%Juan Pablo II College 16%
1st half
44 · 37 · 19
2nd half
40 · 39 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Alianza Atletico Sullana
- homeComerciantes Unidos2:1
- awayAtletico Grau1:3
- homeUT Cajamarca3:2
- awayUCV Moquegua4:1
- homeSporting Cristal3:1
Juan Pablo II
- homeUCV Moquegua4:0
- awayUT Cajamarca2:1
- homeAlianza Lima1:1
- awayLos Chankas4:3
- homeDeportivo Tarma5:1
Head to head
- 05/16/26Primera División2:0
- 09/13/25Primera División0:1
- 04/12/25Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Los Chankas27126936:4542
Los Chankas27126936:45427
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409
Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810
Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:263811
Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
Sport Huancayo271051237:443512Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
Juan Pablo II27971142:523413
Atletico Grau27951326:3132
Atletico Grau27951326:313214
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.