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Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente: result 1:2

Argentina, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Final score 1:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Union de Santa Fe 40%, Independiente 32%, draw 28%.

1:2HT 0:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
40%28%32%
Union de Santa Fe40%Draw28%Independiente32%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.94xG0.97
55Possession, %45
20Shots8
4Shots on target4
6Corners1
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
11Fouls12
3Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 68 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Union de Santa Fe40%

    Actual: Independiente — we had 32%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.551%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 49%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes55%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Union de Santa Fe40%2.49—
XDraw28%3.57—
2Independiente32%3.14—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Union de Santa Fe

  • awayNewell's Old Boys1:1
  • homeEstudiantes3:1
  • awayRiestra1:1
  • homeDefensa y Justicia0:2
  • awayBoca Juniors0:3

Independiente

  • homeBoca Juniors0:1
  • awayRacing Club1:1
  • awayTalleres de Cordoba0:0
  • homeInstituto Córdoba1:4
  • awayUnion de Santa Fe2:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Primera División1:2
  • 03/10/26Primera División4:4
  • 06/23/17Primera División0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Huracan3311111132:3244
14Barracas Central301110929:2743
15Independiente3111101037:3743
16Union de Santa Fe331191348:4742
17San Lorenzo de Almagro3210121025:3042
18Sarmiento311241536:4340

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.