Both teams to score
Yes66%
ours 1.52
No34%
ours 2.92
All matches
Almere City — Helmond Sport, Eerste Divisie: match prediction and stats
Match prediction and stats
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%18%17%
Almere City65%Draw18%Helmond Sport17%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Almere City1.54—
XDraw5.63—
2Helmond Sport5.83—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
This prediction opens with Premium.
Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
This prediction opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches
Corners prediction
This prediction opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches
Cards prediction
This prediction opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Almere CityHelmond Sport
Almere City FC 65%, Helmond Sport 17%. The safest is “Almere City FC or draw” at 83%.
Almere City FC 65%Draw 18%Helmond Sport 17%
1st half
42 · 33 · 25
2nd half
57 · 25 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAlmere CityHelmond SportCombined
Goals scored1.802.003.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Almere City- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
- 2.0 goals per game at home7 matches
- 3rd in the table — 25 points from 13 matches
Helmond Sport- Winless away in 7 matches4:5, 1:3, 0:2, 1:2, 2:3
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches14 goals conceded
- Most yellow cards in the league — 2.5 per match20 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Almere City
- awayRKC Waalwijk2:1
- homeRoda JC2:3
- awayEmmen1:2
- homeEindhoven3:0
- homeVolendam1:0
Helmond Sport
- homeEindhoven3:2
- awayAZ II4:5
- homeNAC Breda0:2
- awayOss1:3
- homeHeracles2:2
Head to head
- 02/13/26Eerste Divisie0:1
- 10/03/25Eerste Divisie1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.