Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.59
All matches
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Utrecht II — Dordrecht, Eerste Divisie
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie
Utrecht II
0.8LWWDL
Dordrecht
1.6DWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%23%34%
Utrecht II43%Draw23%Dordrecht34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Utrecht II2.34—
XDraw4.30—
2Dordrecht2.94—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUtrecht IIDordrechtCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded1.001.002.00
Corners10.78.09.3
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Utrecht IIDordrecht
FC Utrecht II 43%, FC Dordrecht 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FC Utrecht II 43%Draw 23%FC Dordrecht 34%
1st half
38 · 35 · 27
2nd half
32 · 36 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Utrecht II
- homeVVV Venlo1:3
- homeAjax II6:1
- awayNAC Breda3:2
- homeEindhoven0:0
- awayAZ II1:2
Dordrecht
- awayDen Bosch1:1
- homeAlmere City3:2
- awayOss0:3
- awayEindhoven1:2
- homeAZ II3:6
Head to head
- 03/20/26Eerste Divisie3:1
- 11/28/25Eerste Divisie2:1
- 05/02/25Eerste Divisie1:0
- 10/25/24Eerste Divisie1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
Den Bosch922513:188
Den Bosch922513:18817
Ajax II922513:228
Ajax II922513:22818Dordrecht922513:248
Dordrecht922513:24819
De Graafschap922511:228
De Graafschap922511:22820Utrecht II921615:217
Utrecht II921615:217Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.