All matches

Academia del Balompie — Aurora, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

  
2.0WLDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
31%25%43%
Academia del Balompie31%Draw25%Aurora43%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Academia del Balompie31%3.19—
XDraw25%3.94—
2Aurora43%2.31—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.60

No38%

ours 2.66

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Academia del BalompieAurora

Academia del Balompié Boliviano 31%, Club Aurora 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Academia del Balompié Boliviano 31%Draw 25%Club Aurora 43%
1st half
27 · 37 · 36
2nd half
33 · 33 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAcademia del BalompieAuroraCombined
Goals scored0.801.202.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Academia del Balompie
  • 5 defeats in a row2:4, 0:1, 0:1, 1:2, 1:6
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches14 goals conceded
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.4 per match16 teams in the league
Aurora
  • 10 draws in 23 matches — most in the league6th place, 34 points
  • 15th of 16 for corners — 8.9 per match16 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Academia del Balompie

  • awayIndependiente Petrolero2:4
  • homeReal Potosi0:1
  • awayOriente Petrolero0:1
  • homeThe Strongest1:2
  • awayBlooming1:6

Aurora

  • homeReal Tomayapo1:0
  • awayReal Oruro0:1
  • homeNacional Potosi2:2
  • awayGuabira1:3
  • awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0

Head to head

  • 07/24/26LFPB2:3
  • 12/15/25LFPB2:3
  • 07/19/25LFPB2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Real Potosi23108530:1638
5Oriente Petrolero23114840:2937
6Aurora23810534:3034
7Nacional Potosi23941035:3131
8Guabira2386934:4730
10Blooming23610731:2528
11Real Oruro23831237:5627
13Universitario de Vinto23631430:4521
15Academia del Balompie23621533:5120
16Real Tomayapo23551316:4020

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.