Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.72
No42%
ours 2.38
All matches
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Aarhus Gymnastikforening — Viborg FF, Superliga
Denmark, Superliga
Aarhus Gymnastikforening
2.3DLDLLViborg FF
2.2WDLWWOutcome probability
452728
Aarhus Gymnastikforening45%Draw27%Viborg FF28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aarhus Gymnastikforening2.23—
XDraw3.73—
2Viborg FF3.53—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAarhus GymnastikforeningViborg FFCombined
Goals scored0.331.331.66
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners5.510.07.8
Cards2.00.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Aarhus GymnastikforeningViborg FF4Matches in 14 days111Table position32.9Days of rest647.50%Possession50.50% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Aarhus Gymnastikforening look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 45%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
71%
Form and context
Aarhus Gymnastikforening
- awayAC Horsens2:2
- awayFC Nordsjælland0:2
- homeSilkeborg IF2:2
- homeFC Midtjylland0:2
- awayRanders FC1:2
Viborg FF
- homeFC Nordsjælland4:1
- awaySilkeborg IF1:1
- homeLyngby Boldklub0:2
- awayAC Horsens3:2
- homeFC København4:0
Head to head
- 08/14/26Superliga1:2
- 05/17/26Superliga6:2
- 04/06/26Superliga2:1
- 02/22/26Superliga5:2
- 09/14/25Superliga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC København980123:824
FC København980123:8242
FC Midtjylland954017:919
FC Midtjylland954017:9193Viborg FF952215:817
Viborg FF952215:8174
FC Nordsjælland952214:1017
FC Nordsjælland952214:10175
Brøndby IF941412:1513
Brøndby IF941412:15136
AC Horsens932415:1611
AC Horsens932415:16117
Silkeborg IF924312:1210
Silkeborg IF924312:12108
Randers FC931511:1410
Randers FC931511:14109
Odense BK92348:149
Odense BK92348:14910
Lyngby Boldklub914410:167
Lyngby Boldklub914410:16711Aarhus Gymnastikforening905411:175
Aarhus Gymnastikforening905411:17512
Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold912612:215
Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold912612:215