Horsens 2:2 AGF Aarhus, Superliga: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Denmark, Superliga20 September at 14:00Match finished

Horsens

1.9LWDDD

2:2HT 0:0

AGF Aarhus

2.5LWDDL

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished 20 September at 12:17

34%24%42%

HorsensPrice 4.0834%DrawPrice 3.6824%AGF AarhusPrice 1.8142%

Line-upsHorsens4-2-3-1—AGF Aarhus3-4-2-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Horsens4-2-3-1AGF Aarhus3-4-2-1

1Delač28Saine24Kolskogen35Kupijbida26Pálsson17Herdonsson16Moro15Justinussen14Madsen27Ouorou11Ehibhatiomhan21Christiansen14Mølgaard3Grétarsson25Rösler39Emmery10Arnstad4Knudsen29Carstensen23Anderson31Bech13Serra

Horsens4-2-3-1

Coach: Niki Zimling

Starting XI

1GKM. Delač
26DFV. Pálsson
35DFM. Kupijbida
24DFO. Kolskogen
28DFA. Saine
16MFA. Moro
17MFA. Herdonsson
27MFY. Ouorou
14MFJ. Madsen
15MFA. Justinussen
11FWK. Ehibhatiomhan

Substitutes

22FWJ. Batigi
41FWKingsley Bimpong
6MFJ. Bonde
30DFS. Doua
18FWJ. Körkkö
20MFK. Lusavec
7DFI. Miličević
31GKA. Hoff
25FWFallou Sene

AGF Aarhus3-4-2-1

Coach: J. Poulsen

Starting XI

21GKM. Hedenstad Christiansen
25DFC. Rösler
3DFD. Grétarsson
14DFT. Mølgaard
29MFR. Carstensen
4MFM. Knudsen
10MFKristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
39MFFrederik Emmery
31MFT. Bech
23MFM. Anderson
13FWJ. Serra

Substitutes

16MFJ. Jønsson
18MFC. McCowatt
27FWS. Tchamche
33DFLuka Callø
28FWJ. Bogere
5DFF. Tingager
26DFJ. Andersen
8MFS. Jørgensen
1GKJ. Hansen

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.95xG1.37

53Possession, %47

20Shots14

5Shots on target3

3Corners2

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

17Fouls6

1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3

Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score

All forecast types: landed 69 of 98void — 2

Match result Missed
AGF Aarhus42%
Actual: Draw — we had 24%
Total goals Landed
Over 2.566%
Both teams to score Landed
Yes67%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.