Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.50
All matches
—
Copenhagen — AGF Aarhus, Superliga
Denmark, Superliga
Copenhagen
3.2WWWWW
AGF Aarhus
2.3DLDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%24%22%
Copenhagen53%Draw24%AGF Aarhus22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Copenhagen1.88—
XDraw4.09—
2AGF Aarhus4.50—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCopenhagenAGF AarhusCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded0.001.331.33
Corners6.58.87.6
Cards1.81.83.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CopenhagenAGF Aarhus
FC København 53%, Aarhus Gymnastikforening 22%. The safest is “FC København or draw” at 75%.
FC København 53%Draw 24%Aarhus Gymnastikforening 22%
1st half
40 · 37 · 23
2nd half
39 · 35 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Copenhagen
- awayBrondby1:0
- homeHorsens2:0
- awayOdense5:0
- homeNordsjaelland2:0
- homeSonderjyskE3:1
AGF Aarhus
- awayHorsens2:2
- awayNordsjaelland0:2
- homeSilkeborg2:2
- homeMidtjylland0:2
- awayRanders1:2
Head to head
- 11/30/25Superliga0:2
- 08/08/25Superliga2:3
- 04/27/25Superliga3:1
- 04/21/25Superliga3:1
- 11/10/24Superliga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Copenhagen980123:824
Copenhagen980123:8242
Midtjylland954017:919
Midtjylland954017:9193
Viborg FF952215:817
Viborg FF952215:8174
Nordsjaelland952214:1017
Nordsjaelland952214:10175
Brondby941412:1513
Brondby941412:15136
Horsens932415:1611
Horsens932415:16117
Silkeborg924312:1210
Silkeborg924312:12108
Randers931511:1410
Randers931511:14109
Odense92348:149
Odense92348:14910
Lyngby Boldklub914410:167
Lyngby Boldklub914410:16711AGF Aarhus905411:175
AGF Aarhus905411:17512
SonderjyskE912612:215
SonderjyskE912612:215Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.