All matches

Slask Wroclaw — GKS Katowice, Ekstraklasa

Poland, Ekstraklasa

  
2.2LLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%26%41%
Slask Wroclaw33%Draw26%GKS Katowice41%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Slask Wroclaw33%3.02—
XDraw26%3.84—
2GKS Katowice41%2.45—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.56

No36%

ours 2.79

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Slask WroclawGKS Katowice

WKS Śląsk Wrocław 33%, GKS Katowice 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

WKS Śląsk Wrocław 33%Draw 26%GKS Katowice 41%
1st half
34 · 39 · 27
2nd half
25 · 32 · 42
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSlask WroclawGKS KatowiceCombined
Goals scored1.401.803.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Slask Wroclaw
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 3.7 per match18 teams in the league
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches2:0, 2:3, 1:4, 1:2, 1:2
GKS Katowice

Nothing unusual in recent matches.

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Slask Wroclaw

  • homeWieczysta Krakow2:0
  • awayMotor Lublin2:3
  • homeLech Poznan1:4
  • awayWisla Krakow1:2
  • homeKorona Kielce1:2

GKS Katowice

  • awayKorona Kielce0:1
  • homePogon Szczecin0:1
  • homeWieczysta Krakow2:1
  • awayRakow4:1
  • homeCracovia Krakow3:2

Head to head

  • 04/19/25Ekstraklasa0:2
  • 10/20/24Ekstraklasa0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Piast Gliwice1262422:1820
7Zaglebie Lubin1254315:1519
8GKS Katowice1260622:1718
9Korona Kielce1253414:1818
10Jagiellonia1150614:1715
11Wisla Plock1142510:1614
12Motor Lublin1234517:2113
13Cracovia Krakow1233614:1912
14Widzew Lodz1218315:1611
15Slask Wroclaw1223716:229
16Wieczysta Krakow1222816:238
17Radomiak Radom1222812:288

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.