Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.60
No38%
ours 2.67
All matches
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Wieczysta Krakow — Jagiellonia, Ekstraklasa
Poland, Ekstraklasa
Wieczysta Krakow
1.7DLDLL
Jagiellonia
2.8LLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%25%33%
Wieczysta Krakow42%Draw25%Jagiellonia33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wieczysta Krakow2.40—
XDraw3.96—
2Jagiellonia3.02—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWieczysta KrakowJagielloniaCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners10.08.09.0
Cards2.50.02.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Wieczysta KrakowJagiellonia
Klub Sportowy Wieczysta Kraków 42%, SSA Jagiellonia Białystok 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Klub Sportowy Wieczysta Kraków 42%Draw 25%SSA Jagiellonia Białystok 33%
1st half
33 · 37 · 30
2nd half
37 · 37 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Wieczysta Krakow
- awayWidzew Lodz2:2
- awayPogon Szczecin0:2
- homeZaglebie Lubin1:1
- awayWisla Krakow0:2
- awayCracovia Krakow2:3
Jagiellonia
- homeLegia Warsaw1:3
- awayOlympiakos1:2
- awayWisla Krakow0:2
- homeSlask Wroclaw2:1
- awayLech Poznan1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Piast Gliwice941416:1513
Piast Gliwice941416:15139
GKS Katowice840416:1312
GKS Katowice840416:131210Jagiellonia840412:1312
Jagiellonia840412:131211
Wisla Plock83239:1211
Wisla Plock83239:121112
Widzew Lodz916213:139
Widzew Lodz916213:13913
Cracovia Krakow92259:148
Cracovia Krakow92259:14814
Radomiak Radom92257:208
Radomiak Radom92257:20815
Slask Wroclaw913511:156
Slask Wroclaw913511:15616
Motor Lublin91359:156
Motor Lublin91359:15617Wieczysta Krakow812511:175
Wieczysta Krakow812511:17518
Rakow910812:213
Rakow910812:213Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.