Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.56
No36%
ours 2.79
All matches
Wisla Krakow — Motor Lublin, Ekstraklasa
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
55%23%22%
Wisla Krakow55%Draw23%Motor Lublin22%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wisla Krakow1.83—
XDraw4.26—
2Motor Lublin4.55—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Wisla KrakowMotor Lublin
Wisła Kraków 55%, Motor Lublin SA 22%. The safest is “Wisła Kraków or draw” at 78%.
Wisła Kraków 55%Draw 23%Motor Lublin SA 22%
1st half
39 · 36 · 25
2nd half
47 · 32 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Over 8.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWisla KrakowMotor LublinCombined
Goals scored1.201.803.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Wisla Krakow- Unbeaten at home in 8 matches2:1, 2:1, 2:0, 2:0, 2:1
- Most shots in the league — 18.3 per match18 teams in the league
Motor Lublin- Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 7.8 per match18 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Wisla Krakow
- homeRakow2:1
- awayWidzew Lodz0:0
- awayLegia Warsaw0:2
- homeSlask Wroclaw2:1
- homeJagiellonia2:0
Motor Lublin
- homeZaglebie Lubin2:2
- homeSlask Wroclaw3:2
- awayRadomiak Radom3:2
- homeGornik Zabrze0:0
- awayRakow1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Poland, Ekstraklasa: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.