Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.59
No37%
ours 2.71
All matches
VVV Venlo — RKC Waalwijk, Eerste Divisie
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%23%35%
VVV Venlo42%Draw23%RKC Waalwijk35%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1VVV Venlo2.38—
XDraw4.37—
2RKC Waalwijk2.85—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
VVV VenloRKC Waalwijk
VVV Venlo 42%, RKC Waalwijk 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
VVV Venlo 42%Draw 23%RKC Waalwijk 35%
1st half
31 · 38 · 31
2nd half
41 · 27 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVVV VenloRKC WaalwijkCombined
Goals scored3.000.603.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
VVV Venlo- 15 goals in the last 5 matches4:2, 4:4, 3:0, 2:0, 2:3
- Unbeaten at home in 5 matches4:4, 2:0, 3:1, 4:0, 2:1
- Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
RKC Waalwijk- Winless in 5 matches1:1, 1:1, 0:3, 1:1, 0:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- 7 draws in 12 matches — most in the league11th place, 16 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
VVV Venlo
- awayDordrecht4:2
- homeAZ II4:4
- awayAjax II3:0
- homeRoda JC2:0
- awayVolendam2:3
RKC Waalwijk
- awayDe Graafschap1:1
- homeVolendam1:1
- awayHeracles0:3
- homeEmmen1:1
- awayRoda JC0:2
Head to head
- 03/06/26Eerste Divisie0:3
- 12/05/25Eerste Divisie2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.