Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
—
Helmond Sport — Eindhoven, Eerste Divisie
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport
1.1DLLWW
Eindhoven
1.5DLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%24%32%
Helmond Sport44%Draw24%Eindhoven32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Helmond Sport2.27—
XDraw4.23—
2Eindhoven3.10—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHelmond SportEindhovenCombined
Goals scored0.501.171.67
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners9.312.010.7
Cards3.01.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Helmond SportEindhoven
Helmond Sport 44%, FC Eindhoven 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Helmond Sport 44%Draw 24%FC Eindhoven 32%
1st half
40 · 36 · 23
2nd half
31 · 36 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Helmond Sport
- homeHeracles2:2
- awayMVV0:2
- awayDen Bosch1:2
- homePSV II3:1
- homeVVV Venlo4:2
Eindhoven
- homeDe Graafschap2:2
- awayNAC Breda2:4
- homeEmmen3:1
- homeDordrecht2:1
- awayUtrecht II0:0
Head to head
- 04/24/26Eerste Divisie0:1
- 09/26/25Eerste Divisie1:0
- 03/28/25Eerste Divisie2:2
- 11/22/24Eerste Divisie3:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Volendam940520:1712
Volendam940520:171212
PSV II933314:1612
PSV II933314:161213Eindhoven932415:1911
Eindhoven932415:191114Helmond Sport923415:169
Helmond Sport923415:16915
Oss930612:149
Oss930612:14916
Den Bosch922513:188
Den Bosch922513:188Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.