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Viking vs Lillestrom: result 3:0

Norway, EliteserienMatch finished

Final score 3:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Viking 76%, draw 14%, Lillestrom 9%.

Viking
3.5LWLWD
3:0HT 2:0
Lillestrom
1.9WWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
76%14%
VikingPrice 1.4076%DrawPrice 5.4914%LillestromPrice 6.729%
Line-upsViking4-3-3—Lillestrom4-3-3

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Viking4-3-3Lillestrom4-3-3

Viking 4-3-3

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Starting XI

  • 1GKNorwayA. Østbø
  • 5DFNorwayH. Heggheim
  • 6DFAustraliaG. Stensness
  • 25DFNorwayH. Falchener
  • 28DFNorwayK. Haugen
  • 16MFNorwayH. Bjørdal
  • 8MFNew ZealandJ. Bell
  • 7MFNorwayK. Askildsen
  • 20FWDenmarkP. Christiansen
  • 22FWNorwayE. Botheim
  • 10FWNorwayZ. Tripić

Substitutes

  • 24DFNorwayVetle Auklend
  • 30GKSlovakiaĽ. Belko
  • 27DFNorwayJ. Daland
  • 23FWNorwayN. Fuglestad
  • 33MFNorwayJ. Hansen
  • 2DFNorwayH. Haugen
  • 26MFNorwayS. Kvia-Egeskog
  • 29MFNorwayT. Moi
  • 11FWNetherlandsR. Postema

Lillestrom 4-3-3

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Starting XI

  • 12GKSwedenP. Dahlberg
  • 2DFNorwayL. Ranger
  • 28DFNorwayR. Gabrielsen
  • 47DFNorwayS. Kristiansen
  • 11DFDenmarkF. Elkær
  • 20MFAngolaVá
  • 21MFSwedenF. Ottosson
  • 14MFG. Nyheim
  • 22FWNorwayD. Bassi
  • 10FWNorwayT. Lehne Olsen
  • 17FWNorwayE. Kitolano

Substitutes

  • 16MFNorwayH. Melland
  • 15FWSwedenG. Nordh
  • 3DFNorwayS. Ottesen
  • 26MFNorwayY. Paintsil
  • 18MFNorwayK. Krygård
  • 29FWKosovoY. Ibrahimaj
  • 1GKNorwayS. Hagerup
  • 5DFNorwayS. Foss
  • 25FWS. Akanji

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.50xG1.68
45Possession, %55
23Shots15
9Shots on target5
7Corners6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
13Fouls10
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 83 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Viking76%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.569%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes54%

    Actual: No — we had 46%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Viking76%70%1.311.40+6.4
XDraw14%17%7.035.49-2.3
2Lillestrom9%13%10.766.72-4.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Viking

  • awayBodo/Glimt2:3
  • homeTromso3:1
  • awayAston Villa1:3
  • homeFredrikstad3:2
  • homeBayern Munich3:3

Lillestrom

  • awayIK Start1:0
  • homeBrann3:2
  • homeReal Sociedad0:6
  • awaySandefjord2:0
  • awaySparta Prague1:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Eliteserien3:0
  • 07/22/26Eliteserien2:1
  • 09/29/24Eliteserien4:1
  • 05/16/24Eliteserien1:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Viking25192464:2659
2Bodo/Glimt24182458:2156
3Molde25134859:3943
4Rosenborg25134849:3143
5Lillestrom25133936:3342
6Tromso25117743:3840
7Brann251021345:4232

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Upcoming

Kristiansund–Vålerenga Fotball302346Rosenborg–IK Start80127Tromso–Bodo/Glimt121771Viking–KFUM81127Sandefjord–Molde242255

Played

Vålerenga Fotball4:0Tromso382537✓Sarpsborg 082:4Kristiansund652015×IK Start0:1Lillestrom342540✓

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.