All matches

Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Norway, Eliteserien

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Bodo/Glimt 71%, draw 17%, Tromso 12%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.2LLDDW
  
3.5WLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
12%17%71%
TromsoPrice 7.5012%DrawPrice 5.5217%Bodo/GlimtPrice 1.3671%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Tromso12%12%8.087.50+0.6
XDraw17%16%5.965.52+0.5
2Bodo/Glimt71%72%1.411.36-1.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

Fair price 1.66House price 1.57

No40%

Fair price 2.51House price 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This prediction opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TromsoBodo/Glimt

Tromsø IL 12%, FK Bodo - Glimt 71%. The safest is “FK Bodo - Glimt or draw” at 88%.

Tromsø IL 12%Draw 17%FK Bodo - Glimt 71%
1st half
21 · 35 · 45
2nd half
18 · 29 · 53

Prices: 7.50 · 5.52 · 1.36

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Under 27.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTromsoBodo/GlimtCombined
Goals scored1.201.803.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Tromso
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • Unbeaten at home in 5 matches1:1, 3:2, 0:0, 0:0, 2:1
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:4, 1:3, 1:1, 1:1, 3:2
Bodo/Glimt
  • Best defence in the league — 21 conceded in 24 matches2nd place, 56 points
  • Most shots on target in the league — 5.5 per match16 teams in the league
  • Played in Europe this week

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Tromso

  • awayVålerenga Fotball0:4
  • awayViking1:3
  • homeKFUM1:1
  • awayFredrikstad1:1
  • homeHamKam3:2

Bodo/Glimt

  • homeViking3:2
  • homeVålerenga Fotball0:1
  • awayNapoli3:4
  • awayHamKam2:0
  • homeBorussia Dortmund1:0

Head to head

  • 05/16/26Eliteserien0:5
  • 08/09/25Eliteserien1:1
  • 05/16/25Eliteserien2:1
  • 10/19/24Eliteserien0:0
  • 05/16/24Eliteserien0:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Viking25192464:2659
2Bodo/Glimt24182458:2156
3Molde25134859:3943
4Rosenborg25134849:3143
5Lillestrom25133936:3342
6Tromso25117743:3840
7Brann251021345:4232
8Vålerenga Fotball25951143:4632

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.