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Venezia 0:2 Lazio, Serie A: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Italy, Serie AMatch finished

0.9LLLWL
0:2HT 0:0
2.6WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
18%24%58%
VeneziaPrice 3.6918%DrawPrice 3.6924%LazioPrice 2.1158%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.88xG1.19
49Possession, %51
17Shots12
6Shots on target2
7Corners2
6Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
14Fouls8
2Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 71 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Lazio58%
  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.554%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No54%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Venezia18%27%5.533.69-8.5
XDraw24%27%4.203.69-2.8
2Lazio58%47%1.722.11+11.3

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Venezia

  • awayComo0:1
  • homeInter Milan0:2
  • awayGenoa0:1
  • homeNapoli1:0
  • awayAtalanta1:3

Lazio

  • homeCagliari2:1
  • awaySassuolo6:2
  • homeParma2:1
  • awayJuventus3:0
  • homeMonza3:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Serie A0:2
  • 02/22/25Serie A0:0
  • 08/18/24Serie A1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lazio1091024:828
2Inter Milan1081126:1325
3Roma1073028:1024
4Como1072118:823
5AC Milan1063121:1221
6Frosinone1062224:1420
7Napoli942317:1114
8Bologna1042414:1314
9Juventus942311:1014
10Torino1041514:1613
11Genoa1041510:1413
12Cagliari104159:1513
13Atalanta932416:1711
14Lecce1030711:219
15Sassuolo922514:228
16Monza1021717:247
17Fiorentina912611:215
18Parma91265:155
19Udinese1012711:235
20Venezia101096:203

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.