Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
—
Lazio — Cagliari, Serie A
Italy, Serie A
Lazio
2.7WDWWW
Cagliari
1.6WWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%25%21%
Lazio53%Draw25%Cagliari21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Lazio1.88—
XDraw3.93—
2Cagliari4.68—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLazioCagliariCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.330.170.50
Corners8.011.09.5
Cards1.00.01.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LazioCagliari
SS Lazio 53%, Cagliari Calcio 21%. The safest is “SS Lazio or draw” at 76%.
SS Lazio 53%Draw 25%Cagliari Calcio 21%
1st half
39 · 40 · 22
2nd half
38 · 37 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Lazio
- awayVenezia2:0
- homeAC Milan2:2
- awayUdinese2:1
- homeGenoa1:0
- awayBologna1:0
Cagliari
- awayUdinese1:0
- awayAtalanta2:1
- homeLecce1:0
- homeInter Milan0:1
- awayParma1:0
Head to head
- 02/21/26Serie A0:0
- 11/03/25Serie A2:0
- 02/03/25Serie A2:1
- 11/04/24Serie A2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Roma541014:313
Roma541014:3132
Inter Milan541015:813
Inter Milan541015:8133Lazio54108:313
Lazio54108:3134Cagliari54015:212
Cagliari54015:2125
AC Milan532010:411
AC Milan532010:4116
Frosinone53119:410
Frosinone53119:410Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.