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Vålerenga Fotball vs Fredrikstad: result 1:1

Norway, EliteserienMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Vålerenga Fotball 45%, Fredrikstad 31%, draw 24%.

1:1HT 0:0
1.8LLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
45%24%31%
Vålerenga FotballPrice 2.0045%DrawPrice 3.8224%FredrikstadPrice 3.4931%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.56xG1.10
48Possession, %52
16Shots9
3Shots on target2
9Corners6
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
9Fouls12
5Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 80 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Vålerenga Fotball45%

    Actual: Draw — we had 24%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.558%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 42%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes60%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Vålerenga Fotball45%48%2.232.00-3.6
XDraw24%25%4.183.82-0.7
2Fredrikstad31%27%3.193.49+4.3

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Vålerenga Fotball

  • homeTromso4:0
  • awayBodo/Glimt1:0
  • homeBrann3:1
  • awayKFUM1:2
  • homeFredrikstad1:1

Fredrikstad

  • homeRosenborg0:3
  • awayMolde1:5
  • awayViking2:3
  • homeTromso1:1
  • awayVålerenga Fotball1:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Eliteserien1:1
  • 04/12/26Eliteserien1:1
  • 07/05/25Eliteserien1:1
  • 04/09/25Eliteserien0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Tromso25117743:3840
7Brann251021345:4232
8Vålerenga Fotball25951143:4632
9Sarpsborg 0825871032:3931
10KFUM25871032:4131
11Fredrikstad25851229:4429
12Sandefjord24761124:3127
13HamKam25761235:5327

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.