Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
Botev Vratsa — CSKA 1948, First League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
26%27%47%
Botev Vratsa26%Draw27%CSKA 194847%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Botev Vratsa3.90—
XDraw3.70—
2CSKA 19482.11—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Botev VratsaCSKA 1948
POFK Botev Vratsa 26%, FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 47%. The safest is “FK CSKA 1948 Sofia or draw” at 74%.
POFK Botev Vratsa 26%Draw 27%FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 47%
1st half
32 · 42 · 26
2nd half
22 · 30 · 48
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 9.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBotev VratsaCSKA 1948Combined
Goals scored1.202.003.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Botev Vratsa- 2nd in the league for corners — 9.8 per match14 teams in the league
- One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 0:1, 2:2, 0:0, 3:2
CSKA 1948- 10 goals in the last 5 matches4:0, 2:3, 2:1, 2:1, 0:1
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:1, 1:0, 0:0, 0:1, 1:0
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Botev Vratsa
- awayLokomotiv Sofia1:1
- homeSpartak Varna0:1
- awayDunav Ruse2:2
- homeLevski Sofia0:0
- awaySeptemvri Sofia3:2
CSKA 1948
- homeBotev Plovdiv4:0
- homeCSKA Sofia2:3
- awaySlavia Sofia2:1
- homeDunav Ruse2:1
- awayLevski Sofia0:1
Head to head
- 07/25/26First League1:2
- 04/10/26First League0:1
- 11/03/25First League0:0
- 04/28/25First League1:0
- 02/21/25First League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Bulgaria, First League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.