All matches

Paphos vs AEL Limassol: result 0:2

Cyprus, First DivisionMatch finished

Final score 0:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Paphos 80%, draw 14%, AEL Limassol 7%.

2.9DDDDL
0:2HT 0:0
1.9LLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
80%14%
PaphosPrice 1.3480%DrawPrice 4.7014%AEL LimassolPrice 8.257%
Line-upsPaphos4-5-1—AEL Limassol3-4-3

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Paphos4-5-1AEL Limassol3-4-3

Paphos4-5-1

Coach: Ricardo Sa Pinto

Starting XI

  • 99GKPolandRadosław Majecki
  • 7DFBrazilBruno
  • 5DFDavid Goldar
  • 4DFBrazilDavid Luiz
  • 12MFSwedenKen Sema
  • 13MFNicolas Moumie Ngamaleu
  • 26MFCroatiaIvan Šunjić
  • 30MFRomaniaVlad Dragomir
  • 88MFPortugalPêpê
  • 14DFCyprusNikolas Ioannou
  • 18FWBrazilLelê

Substitutes

  • 71GKCyprusMichalis Papastylianou
  • 82GKCyprusPetros Petrou
  • 2DFFranceYoram Zague
  • 3DFMoroccoSamy Mmaee
  • 23DFPortugalJonatás Noro
  • 72DFKosmas Ioannou
  • 6MFPortugalGuga
  • 8MFPortugalDomingos Quina
  • 60MFCyprusChristos Efzona
  • 17FWPortugalAfonso Patrao
  • 20FWBrazilBiel
  • 33FWBrazilAnderson Silva

AEL Limassol3-4-3

Coach: Hugo Martins

Starting XI

  • 1GKGreeceStefanos Kapino
  • 33DFCyprusEvagoras Antoniou
  • 23DFPortugalDiogo Gomes
  • 22DFCyprusKypros Neofytou
  • 10FWFranceRémi Oudin
  • 6MFNorth MacedoniaDavor Zdravkovski
  • 20MFPortugalJoão Tavares
  • 11MFSouth AfricaLuther Singh
  • 30MFCyprusGiorgos Papageorgiou
  • 77FWCameroonFrançois Régis Mughe
  • 9FWMontenegroStevan Jovetić

Substitutes

  • 74GKSamy Merzouk
  • 98GKCyprusPanagiotis Kyriakou
  • 2DFCyprusAndreas Karo
  • 4DFSurinameStefano Denswil
  • 35DFPortugalSérgio Conceição
  • 70DFKyriakos Kyriakou
  • 17MFCyprusDanil Paroutis
  • 80MFPortugalJair Tavares
  • 75FWCyprusSimonas Christofi
  • 84FWChristos Karamani
  • 99FWNigeriaChinedu Geoffrey

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.87xG1.17
67Possession, %33
14Shots10
4Shots on target4
7Corners2
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
18Fouls7
2Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 60 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Paphos80%

    Actual: AEL Limassol — we had 7%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.560%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 40%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    No59%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Paphos80%72%1.261.34+7.2
XDraw14%18%7.284.70-4.3
2AEL Limassol7%10%14.888.25-2.9

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Paphos

  • awayApollon Limassol2:2
  • awayNea Salamis Famagusta0:0
  • homeRiga1:1
  • homeAPOEL0:0
  • awayAtalanta1:3

AEL Limassol

  • awayOmonia0:2
  • homeAris Limassol1:3
  • awayOmonia Aradippou2:0
  • homeOmonia 29 Maiou2:1
  • awayPaphos2:0

Head to head

  • 09/18/26First Division0:2
  • 02/15/26First Division1:0
  • 11/02/25First Division1:0
  • 01/06/25First Division4:0
  • 09/22/24First Division3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Omonia843115:615
4Aris Limassol843112:1015
5AEL Limassol850311:1315
6APOEL842218:1014
7Paphos83419:513
8Omonia 29 Maiou832313:1311

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.