Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
—
Omonia Aradippou — APOEL, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Omonia Aradippou
1.6DDWDW
APOEL
2.1DLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
31%24%45%
Omonia Aradippou31%Draw24%APOEL45%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Omonia Aradippou3.27—
XDraw4.16—
2APOEL2.20—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOmonia AradippouAPOELCombined
Goals scored0.671.502.17
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners9.35.07.2
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Omonia AradippouAPOEL
Omonia FC Aradippou 31%, APOEL FC 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Omonia FC Aradippou 31%Draw 24%APOEL FC 45%
1st half
32 · 38 · 30
2nd half
26 · 35 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Omonia Aradippou
- homeOlympiakos Nicosia1:1
- awayKarmiotissa1:1
- homeDigenis Ypsonas2:1
- awayOmonia0:0
- awayEthnikos Achna2:1
APOEL
- awayApollon Limassol2:2
- awayAnorthosis Famagusta1:2
- homeAEL Limassol6:0
- awayAEK Larnaca1:3
- awayPaphos0:2
Head to head
- 01/23/26First Division1:1
- 10/03/25First Division0:4
- 01/26/25First Division0:7
- 10/19/24First Division0:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Paphos42114:27
Paphos42114:275
Apollon Limassol41307:56
Apollon Limassol41307:566Omonia Aradippou41304:36
Omonia Aradippou41304:367
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:758
Aris Limassol41214:65
Aris Limassol41214:659APOEL411210:74
APOEL411210:7410
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:7411
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.