All matches

Orense — Tecnico Universitario, Primera Categoría Serie A

Ecuador, Primera Categoría Serie A

Orense
1.7LLWLL
—
Tecnico Universitario
1.1DWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%25%23%
Orense52%Draw25%Tecnico Universitario23%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Orense52%1.93—
XDraw25%4.00—
2Tecnico Universitario23%4.29—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.77

No43%

ours 2.30

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOrenseTecnico UniversitarioCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded1.170.671.84
Corners8.09.78.8
Cards2.72.75.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

OrenseTecnico Universitario

Orense SC 52%, CD Técnico Universitario 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Orense SC 52%Draw 25%CD Técnico Universitario 23%
1st half
37 · 38 · 26
2nd half
39 · 37 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Orense

  • awayManta1:2
  • awayUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador1:2
  • homeGuayaquil City4:3
  • awayLeones del Norte0:1
  • homeMacara1:2

Tecnico Universitario

  • homeDelfin1:1
  • awayLeones del Norte1:0
  • homeLDU Quito1:3
  • awayDelfin0:1
  • homeCuenca3:1

Head to head

  • 07/07/26Primera Categoría Serie A1:2
  • 02/28/26Primera Categoría Serie A1:1
  • 07/08/25Primera Categoría Serie A2:1
  • 03/11/25Primera Categoría Serie A2:1
  • 11/10/24Primera Categoría Serie A0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Emelec311091226:3639
12Cuenca311071426:3837
13Orense31961637:4933
14Tecnico Universitario311031829:4333
15Delfin31781620:3229
16Manta31661919:4324

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.