All matches

Manta vs Orense: result 2:1

Ecuador, Serie AMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Orense 39%, Manta 33%, draw 28%.

1.1LLWWD
2:1HT 2:0
1.7WDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
33%28%39%
MantaPrice 2.6933%DrawPrice 3.0328%OrensePrice 2.7239%
Line-upsManta4-4-2—Orense4-4-2

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Manta4-4-2Orense4-4-2

Manta4-4-2

Coach: Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier

Starting XI

  • 12GKEcuadorF. Zambrano
  • 23DFEcuadorA. Medina
  • 24DFArgentinaO. Moscarelli
  • 31DFEcuadorG. Mina
  • 21DFEcuadorM. Ortíz
  • 55MFUruguayJ. Vergés
  • 6MFColombiaJ. Jiménez
  • 5MFArgentinaB. Ramírez
  • 27MFEcuadorJefferson Alberto Troya Vera
  • 9FWColombiaJ. Blanco
  • 17FWEcuadorJosé Enrique Angulo Caicedo

Substitutes

  • 10MFEcuadorR. Burbano
  • 19FWEcuadorJ. Alman
  • 33FWEcuadorAnderson Paul Castillo Pérez
  • 7FWEcuadorWalter Leodán Chalá Vásquez
  • 1GKEcuadorW. Chávez
  • 28MFEcuadorÁ. Ledesma
  • 14MFEcuadorJ. Mina
  • 25DFEcuadorJ. Monaga
  • 70MFEcuadorJ. Nazareno
  • 99GKE. Pico
  • 52MFJ. Rialpe
  • 8FWEcuadorM. Valencia

Orense4-4-2

Coach: H. Torres

Starting XI

  • 12GKEcuadorR. Silva
  • 31DFEcuadorP. Velasco
  • 24DFEcuadorG. Achilier
  • 5DFArgentinaA. Lorenzo
  • 15DFEcuadorB. Caicedo
  • 30MFArgentinaV. Burgoa
  • 26MFEcuadorN. Molina
  • 51MFEcuadorC. Ortíz
  • 11MFArgentinaA. Herrera
  • 19FWEcuadorMichael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
  • 10FWEcuadorM. Parrales

Substitutes

  • 6DFArgentinaS. Callegari
  • 23MFEcuadorWilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga
  • 53FWL. Garces
  • 25MFEcuadorR. Jaramillo
  • 57MFS. Mairongo
  • 13FWEcuadorÁ. Mena
  • 22GKEcuadorJ. Ortiz
  • 14MFEcuadorE. Pluas
  • 2DFEcuadorB. Quiñonez
  • 21MFArgentinaG. Rostagno
  • 77DFEcuadorB. Viñán
  • 74MFEcuadorC. Barrio

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.43xG2.03
43Possession, %57
12Shots18
6Shots on target7
4Corners5
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
20Fouls14

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 75 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Orense39%

    Actual: Manta — we had 33%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.558%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 42%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No52%

    Actual: Yes — we had 48%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Manta33%35%3.032.69-1.9
XDraw28%31%3.553.03-2.5
2Orense39%34%2.582.72+4.4

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Manta

  • homeCuenca0:2
  • awayDelfin2:4
  • homeTecnico Universitario1:0
  • homeOrense2:1
  • homeAucas0:0

Orense

  • homeDelfin4:0
  • awayMushuc Runa1:1
  • homeCuenca0:0
  • awayManta1:2
  • awayUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador1:2

Head to head

  • 09/21/26Serie A2:1
  • 07/11/26Serie A0:0
  • 03/10/26Serie A1:1
  • 06/24/25Serie A0:0
  • 02/23/25Serie A1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Emelec351191531:4342
12Mushuc Runa349131239:4640
13Orense341081642:5038
14Delfin351081730:4138
15Tecnico Universitario341132033:4636
16Manta34762122:4927

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.