Manta vs Orense: result 2:1
Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Orense 39%, Manta 33%, draw 28%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsManta4-4-2—Orense4-4-2
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Manta4-4-2
Coach: Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier
Starting XI
12GK
F. Zambrano23DF
A. Medina24DFO. Moscarelli
31DF
G. Mina21DF
M. Ortíz55MFJ. Vergés
6MFJ. Jiménez
5MFB. Ramírez
27MF
Jefferson Alberto Troya Vera9FWJ. Blanco
17FW
José Enrique Angulo Caicedo
Substitutes
10MF
R. Burbano19FW
J. Alman33FW
Anderson Paul Castillo Pérez7FW
Walter Leodán Chalá Vásquez1GK
W. Chávez28MF
Á. Ledesma14MF
J. Mina25DF
J. Monaga70MF
J. Nazareno99GKE. Pico52MFJ. Rialpe8FW
M. Valencia
Orense4-4-2
Coach: H. Torres
Starting XI
12GK
R. Silva31DF
P. Velasco24DF
G. Achilier5DFA. Lorenzo
15DF
B. Caicedo30MFV. Burgoa
26MF
N. Molina51MF
C. OrtÃz11MFA. Herrera
19FW
Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes10FW
M. Parrales
Substitutes
6DFS. Callegari
23MF
Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga53FWL. Garces25MF
R. Jaramillo57MFS. Mairongo13FW
Á. Mena22GK
J. Ortiz14MF
E. Pluas2DF
B. Quiñonez21MFG. Rostagno
77DF
B. Viñán74MF
C. Barrio
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedOrense39%
Actual: Manta — we had 33%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.558%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 42%
- Both teams to score MissedNo52%
Actual: Yes — we had 48%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Manta
- homeCuenca0:2
- awayDelfin2:4
- homeTecnico Universitario1:0
- homeOrense2:1
- homeAucas0:0
Orense
- homeDelfin4:0
- awayMushuc Runa1:1
- homeCuenca0:0
- awayManta1:2
- awayUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador1:2
Head to head
- 09/21/26Serie A2:1
- 07/11/26Serie A0:0
- 03/10/26Serie A1:1
- 06/24/25Serie A0:0
- 02/23/25Serie A1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Ecuador, Serie A: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


