All matches

Manta — Tecnico Universitario, Primera Categoría Serie A

Ecuador, Primera Categoría Serie A

Manta
1.1WDLLW
—
Tecnico Universitario
1.1DWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%26%30%
MantaMarket 2.3544%DrawMarket 3.1026%Tecnico UniversitarioMarket 3.1030%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Manta44%42%2.282.35+1.4
XDraw26%32%3.823.10-6.2
2Tecnico Universitario30%32%3.343.10-2.2

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82book 1.95

No45%

ours 2.22book 1.74

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMantaTecnico UniversitarioCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded1.831.503.33
Corners7.29.88.5
Cards2.82.85.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MantaTecnico Universitario

Manta FC 44%, CD Técnico Universitario 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Manta FC 44%Draw 26%CD Técnico Universitario 30%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
33 · 40 · 28

Bookmakers: 2.35 · 3.10 · 3.10

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%1.41
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Manta

  • homeOrense2:1
  • homeAucas0:0
  • awayEmelec0:1
  • awayMacara3:4
  • homeBarcelona SC2:0

Tecnico Universitario

  • homeDelfin1:1
  • awayLeones del Norte1:0
  • homeLDU Quito1:3
  • awayDelfin0:1
  • homeCuenca3:1

Head to head

  • 07/26/26Primera Categoría Serie A0:1
  • 04/05/26Primera Categoría Serie A0:2
  • 11/29/25Primera Categoría Serie A3:2
  • 10/19/25Primera Categoría Serie A2:0
  • 08/03/25Primera Categoría Serie A1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Cuenca311071426:3837
13Orense31961637:4933
14Tecnico Universitario311031829:4333
15Delfin31781620:3229
16Manta31661919:4324

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.