Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga: result 1:3
Final score 1:3. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Once Caldas 41%, draw 31%, Bucaramanga 29%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedOnce Caldas41%
Actual: Bucaramanga — we had 29%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.564%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 36%
- Both teams to score MissedNo57%
Actual: Yes — we had 43%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Once Caldas
- homeAlianza Valledupar1:0
- homeDeportivo Pereira1:1
- awayMillonarios1:1
- awayIndependiente Medellin2:0
- homeLlaneros1:0
Bucaramanga
- homePasto2:1
- awayIndependiente Santa Fe1:2
- awayBoyaca Chico0:1
- homeAmerica de Cali1:1
- homeRionegro Aguilas1:1
Head to head
- 09/26/26Primera A1:3
- 03/19/26Primera A1:1
- 09/10/25Primera A0:0
- 02/09/25Primera A2:1
- 08/11/24Primera A2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Colombia, Primera A: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


