Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
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Llaneros — Junior, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Llaneros
1.6LLWLL
Junior
2.6LLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%27%38%
Llaneros36%Draw27%Junior38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Llaneros2.81—
XDraw3.76—
2Junior2.65—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLlanerosJuniorCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners8.09.08.5
Cards4.01.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LlanerosJunior
Club Llaneros SA 36%, CD Popular Junior FC SA 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Club Llaneros SA 36%Draw 27%CD Popular Junior FC SA 38%
1st half
33 · 39 · 28
2nd half
27 · 40 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Llaneros
- homeAmerica de Cali1:2
- awayCucuta Deportivo1:2
- homeAtletico Nacional2:0
- awayLa Equidad2:3
- homeDeportes Tolima1:2
Junior
- awayBucaramanga1:3
- awayAtletico Nacional1:3
- homeIndependiente Medellin2:0
- awayFortaleza CEIF4:1
- awayAlianza Valledupar0:1
Head to head
- 04/19/26Categoria Primera A0:2
- 08/29/25Categoria Primera A0:4
- 03/17/25Categoria Primera A0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:3657
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:36574
Deportes Tolima351511946:3456
Deportes Tolima351511946:34565Junior361581354:4853
Junior361581354:48536
Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
Deportivo Cali31149840:25517
Millonarios321211949:3447
Millonarios321211949:34478
Once Caldas331114848:4147
Once Caldas331114848:41479
Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Bucaramanga301113646:304610
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Independiente Medellin311371145:404611
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
La Equidad349141142:5341
La Equidad349141142:534113
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:4040
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:404014Llaneros318121132:3636
Llaneros318121132:363615
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.