Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.95
No49%
ours 2.05
All matches
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Deportivo Cali — Boyaca Chico, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Deportivo Cali
1.8WWWWW
Boyaca Chico
0.7DWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
62%24%14%
Deportivo Cali62%Draw24%Boyaca Chico14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo Cali1.61—
XDraw4.18—
2Boyaca Chico7.16—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo CaliBoyaca ChicoCombined
Goals scored0.830.000.83
Conceded0.170.000.17
Corners8.010.09.0
Cards3.51.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo CaliBoyaca Chico
Asociación Deportivo Cali 62%, Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 14%. The safest is “Asociación Deportivo Cali or draw” at 85%.
Asociación Deportivo Cali 62%Draw 24%Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 14%
1st half
45 · 40 · 14
2nd half
41 · 38 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Deportivo Cali
- homeAlianza Valledupar3:1
- homeRionegro Aguilas2:0
- awayIndependiente Santa Fe1:0
- homeCucuta Deportivo3:0
- awayOnce Caldas2:1
Boyaca Chico
- awayDeportes Tolima0:0
- homePasto3:0
- awayMillonarios0:3
- homeAlianza Valledupar1:2
- homeIndependiente Medellin2:1
Head to head
- 04/17/26Categoria Primera A0:1
- 08/25/25Categoria Primera A0:0
- 03/10/25Categoria Primera A0:0
- 08/11/24Categoria Primera A0:1
- 02/10/24Categoria Primera A4:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Deportes Tolima351511946:3456
Deportes Tolima351511946:34565
Junior361581354:4853
Junior361581354:48536Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
Deportivo Cali31149840:25517
Millonarios321211949:3447
Millonarios321211949:34478
Once Caldas331114848:4147
Once Caldas331114848:41479
Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Bucaramanga301113646:304610
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Independiente Medellin311371145:404611
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
La Equidad349141142:5341
La Equidad349141142:534113
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:4040
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:404014
Llaneros318121132:3636
Llaneros318121132:363615
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:543117Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
Boyaca Chico30851725:502918
Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128
Alianza Valledupar316101525:512819
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.