Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
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Deportivo Pereira — Deportes Tolima, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Deportivo Pereira
1.2LLDDL
Deportes Tolima
2.9DDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
26%26%49%
Deportivo Pereira26%Draw26%Deportes Tolima49%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo Pereira3.87—
XDraw3.90—
2Deportes Tolima2.06—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo PereiraDeportes TolimaCombined
Goals scored0.000.330.33
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners6.09.07.5
Cards3.04.07.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima
CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 26%, Club Deportes Tolima SA 48%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 26%Draw 26%Club Deportes Tolima SA 48%
1st half
28 · 41 · 31
2nd half
22 · 41 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Deportivo Pereira
- awayCucuta Deportivo0:4
- homeIndependiente Santa Fe1:2
- homeLa Equidad0:0
- awayRionegro Aguilas2:2
- homeBucaramanga1:3
Deportes Tolima
- homeBoyaca Chico0:0
- awayFortaleza CEIF2:2
- homeAmerica de Cali1:1
- awayOnce Caldas0:1
- awayIndependiente Santa Fe0:1
Head to head
- 04/18/26Categoria Primera A0:2
- 07/25/25Categoria Primera A0:1
- 02/14/25Categoria Primera A0:0
- 10/08/24Categoria Primera A1:0
- 03/23/24Categoria Primera A1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
America de Cali33187850:2761
America de Cali33187850:27613
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:3657
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:36574Deportes Tolima351511946:3456
Deportes Tolima351511946:34565
Junior361581354:4853
Junior361581354:48536
Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
Deportivo Cali31149840:25517
Millonarios321211949:3447
Millonarios321211949:34478
Once Caldas331114848:4147
Once Caldas331114848:41479
Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Bucaramanga301113646:304610
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Independiente Medellin311371145:404611
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
La Equidad349141142:5341
La Equidad349141142:534113
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:4040
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:404014
Llaneros318121132:3636
Llaneros318121132:363615
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:543117
Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
Boyaca Chico30851725:502918
Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128
Alianza Valledupar316101525:512819
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:532520Deportivo Pereira302121622:4918
Deportivo Pereira302121622:4918Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.