Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.34
All matches
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OFK Beograd — Red Star Belgrade, SuperLiga
Serbia, SuperLiga
OFK Beograd
1.8LLDLW
Red Star Belgrade
4.1WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
14%19%67%
OFK Beograd14%Draw19%Red Star Belgrade67%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1OFK Beograd7.30—
XDraw5.25—
2Red Star Belgrade1.49—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOFK BeogradRed Star BelgradeCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded2.000.172.17
Corners6.310.08.1
Cards2.33.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
OFK BeogradRed Star Belgrade
OFK Beograd 14%, Red Star Belgrade 67%. The safest is “Red Star Belgrade or draw” at 82%.
OFK Beograd 14%Draw 19%Red Star Belgrade 67%
1st half
25 · 34 · 40
2nd half
20 · 35 · 45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
OFK Beograd
- homeRadnicki Kragujevac3:5
- awayRadnicki Nis1:3
- homeIMT Novi Beograd1:1
- awayPartizan1:3
- homeZemun1:0
Red Star Belgrade
- homeRadnicki Nis3:0
- awayZeleznicar Pancevo2:1
- awayIMT Novi Beograd1:0
- awayRadnik Surdulica0:0
- homePartizan2:1
Head to head
- 05/22/26SuperLiga2:1
- 11/30/25SuperLiga3:4
- 07/26/25SuperLiga1:7
- 04/27/25SuperLiga2:5
- 04/06/25SuperLiga1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Red Star Belgrade1091024:328
Red Star Belgrade1091024:3282
Vojvodina1071221:1022
Vojvodina1071221:10223
Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
Radnicki Kragujevac952217:9174
Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
Mladost Lucani1044210:12165
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:7156
Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:10147
Radnik Surdulica1035214:1514
Radnik Surdulica1035214:15148
Novi Pazar1034310:1113
Novi Pazar1034310:11139
Cukaricki Stankom1032512:1811
Cukaricki Stankom1032512:181110OFK Beograd1023513:219
OFK Beograd1023513:21911
Partizan922517:198
Partizan922517:19812
Radnicki Nis92256:118
Radnicki Nis92256:118Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.