Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.00
No50%
ours 2.00
All matches
—
Red Star Belgrade — Mladost Lucani, SuperLiga
Serbia, SuperLiga
Red Star Belgrade
4.1WWWDW
Mladost Lucani
1.8WLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
82%14%
Red Star Belgrade82%Draw14%Mladost Lucani3%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Red Star Belgrade1.21—
XDraw7.02—
2Mladost Lucani29.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRed Star BelgradeMladost LucaniCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded0.171.501.67
Corners8.57.68.1
Cards1.82.44.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Red Star BelgradeMladost Lucani
Red Star Belgrade 82%, LFK Mladost Lučani 3%. The safest is “Red Star Belgrade or draw” at 97%.
Red Star Belgrade 82%Draw 14%LFK Mladost Lučani 3%
1st half
64 · 27 · 9
2nd half
57 · 30 · 12
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Red Star Belgrade
- homeRadnicki Nis3:0
- awayZeleznicar Pancevo2:1
- awayIMT Novi Beograd1:0
- awayRadnik Surdulica0:0
- homePartizan2:1
Mladost Lucani
- awayMacva Sabac2:1
- awayRadnicki Kragujevac0:5
- homeRadnicki Nis1:0
- awayIMT Novi Beograd0:2
- homePartizan3:1
Head to head
- 12/20/25SuperLiga4:0
- 08/15/25SuperLiga4:1
- 05/24/25SuperLiga3:1
- 11/30/24SuperLiga2:0
- 07/27/24SuperLiga2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Red Star Belgrade1091024:328
Red Star Belgrade1091024:3282
Vojvodina1071221:1022
Vojvodina1071221:10223
Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
Radnicki Kragujevac952217:9174Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
Mladost Lucani1044210:12165
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:7156
Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.