Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.91
No48%
ours 2.10
All matches
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Radnicki Kragujevac — Red Star Belgrade, SuperLiga
Serbia, SuperLiga
Radnicki Kragujevac
2.0WWDDWRed Star Belgrade
4.1WWWDWOutcome probability
1971
Radnicki Kragujevac10%Draw19%Red Star Belgrade71%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Radnicki Kragujevac9.62—
XDraw5.40—
2Red Star Belgrade1.41—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRadnicki KragujevacRed Star BelgradeCombined
Goals scored2.331.674.00
Conceded0.830.331.16
Corners10.88.39.6
Cards3.22.75.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Radnicki KragujevacRed Star Belgrade3Table position153.80%Possession65.20%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, Red Star Belgrade still look stronger — an away win is rated at 71%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Away
71%
Form and context
Radnicki Kragujevac
- awayOFK Beograd5:3
- homeMladost Lucani5:0
- awayMacva Sabac0:0
- awayRadnicki Nis1:1
- homeIMT Novi Beograd2:1
Red Star Belgrade
- homeRadnicki Nis3:0
- awayZeleznicar Pancevo2:1
- awayIMT Novi Beograd1:0
- awayRadnik Surdulica0:0
- homePartizan2:1
Head to head
- 03/01/26SuperLiga0:2
- 09/28/25SuperLiga1:2
- 04/23/25SuperLiga4:1
- 02/08/25SuperLiga0:6
- 09/01/24SuperLiga0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Red Star Belgrade1091024:328
Red Star Belgrade1091024:3282
Vojvodina1071221:1022
Vojvodina1071221:10223Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
Radnicki Kragujevac952217:9174
Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
Mladost Lucani1044210:12165
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715