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Millonarios 3:0 Boyaca Chico, Primera A: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Colombia, Primera AMatch finished

2.5DWDDD
3:0HT 1:0
1.2LDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
75%17%
Millonarios75%Draw17%Boyaca Chico8%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.79xG0.83
58Possession, %42
24Shots6
12Shots on target3
6Corners6
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
11Fouls9
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 78 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Millonarios75%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.553%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No61%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Millonarios75%1.33—
XDraw17%5.75—
2Boyaca Chico8%13.30—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Millonarios

  • homeOnce Caldas1:1
  • homeJaguares de Cordoba4:1
  • awayFortaleza CEIF1:1
  • awayIndependiente Medellin2:2
  • awayAtletico Nacional1:1

Boyaca Chico

  • awayDeportivo Cali0:2
  • homeJunior1:1
  • homeBucaramanga1:0
  • awayDeportivo Pereira0:2
  • homeAtletico Nacional1:4

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Primera A3:0
  • 03/14/26Primera A1:2
  • 11/13/25Primera A2:1
  • 05/25/25Primera A4:2
  • 11/15/24Primera A5:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Once Caldas381416854:4358
7Deportes Tolima3915121249:4057
8Millonarios351313955:3752
9Bucaramanga351215851:3651
10Independiente Medellin351471449:4849
11Rionegro Aguilas3512121141:4548
12Inter Bogotá3811151249:5848
13Pasto371371740:5246
14Llaneros3610121436:4342
15Cucuta Deportivo359101640:5937
16Alianza Valledupar358111629:5435
17Fortaleza CEIF356161339:5134
18Boyaca Chico36962128:6033
19Jaguares de Cordoba35872037:6231
20Deportivo Pereira354151627:5127

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.