Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
Tirana — Skenderbeu Korce, Superliga
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%31%27%
Tirana42%Draw31%Skenderbeu Korce27%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tirana2.38—
XDraw3.24—
2Skenderbeu Korce3.69—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
TiranaSkenderbeu Korce
KF Tirana 42%, KS Skënderbeu Korçë 27%. The safest is “KF Tirana or draw” at 73%.
KF Tirana 42%Draw 31%KS Skënderbeu Korçë 27%
1st half
36 · 40 · 24
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTiranaSkenderbeu KorceCombined
Goals scored1.401.202.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Tirana- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches1:1, 1:0, 2:2, 4:0, 1:0
- 2nd in the league for corners — 9.0 per match10 teams in the league
- 3 draws in the last 5 head-to-head meetings1:1, 1:1, 1:0, 0:0, 2:1
Skenderbeu Korce- Relegation zone: 8th of 10
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
- 2nd in the league for yellow cards — 2.1 per match10 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Tirana
- homeDinamo Tirana1:1
- awayVllaznia0:2
- homeLaci1:0
- awayPartizani3:1
- homeElbasani2:2
Skenderbeu Korce
- homeLaci1:1
- awayPartizani2:0
- homeElbasani2:1
- awayTeuta Durres0:2
- awayVora1:1
Head to head
- 09/11/26Superliga1:1
- 04/12/25Superliga1:1
- 02/16/25Superliga1:0
- 12/05/24Superliga0:0
- 09/29/24Superliga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Albania, Superliga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.