Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
—
Skenderbeu Korce — Vllaznia, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Skenderbeu Korce
1.5DDLLD
Vllaznia
2.0LLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%29%30%
Skenderbeu Korce41%Draw29%Vllaznia30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Skenderbeu Korce2.41—
XDraw3.50—
2Vllaznia3.33—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSkenderbeu KorceVllazniaCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded0.330.671.00
Corners6.09.07.5
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Skenderbeu KorceVllaznia
KS Skënderbeu Korçë 41%, KS Vllaznia Shkodër 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
KS Skënderbeu Korçë 41%Draw 29%KS Vllaznia Shkodër 30%
1st half
31 · 42 · 27
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Skenderbeu Korce
- awayVora1:1
- homeTirana1:1
- awayEgnatia1:2
- homeDinamo Tirana0:1
- awayVllaznia2:2
Vllaznia
- homeTeuta Durres0:2
- awayLaci0:2
- homePartizani2:3
- awayElbasani1:1
- homeSkenderbeu Korce2:2
Head to head
- 08/21/26Superliga2:2
- 03/15/25Superliga2:1
- 01/19/25Superliga0:4
- 11/03/24Superliga0:2
- 08/31/24Superliga1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Partizani51137:104
Partizani51137:1048
Vora51133:104
Vora51133:1049Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
Skenderbeu Korce50325:7310Vllaznia50235:102
Vllaznia50235:102Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.