All matches

Tirana — Dinamo Tirana, Superliga

Albania, Superliga

Tirana
1.7DDWLL
—
Dinamo Tirana
2.3WWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%29%34%
Tirana38%Draw29%Dinamo Tirana34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tirana38%2.64—
XDraw29%3.50—
2Dinamo Tirana34%2.98—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTiranaDinamo TiranaCombined
Goals scored1.171.502.67
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners10.39.39.8
Cards0.01.31.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TiranaDinamo Tirana

KF Tirana 38%, KS Dinamo Tirana 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

KF Tirana 38%Draw 29%KS Dinamo Tirana 34%
1st half
34 · 38 · 29
2nd half
26 · 42 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Tirana

  • homeElbasani2:2
  • awaySkenderbeu Korce1:1
  • homeVora4:0
  • awayTeuta Durres1:3
  • awayEgnatia0:3

Dinamo Tirana

  • homeLaci3:1
  • awayPartizani4:2
  • homeElbasani2:1
  • awaySkenderbeu Korce1:0
  • awayPaphos2:4

Head to head

  • 04/18/26Superliga1:1
  • 02/07/26Superliga1:1
  • 12/03/25Superliga2:6
  • 09/27/25Superliga1:2
  • 04/27/25Superliga2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Teuta Durres541010:213
2Egnatia540111:512
3Dinamo Tirana540110:512
4Laci52127:87
5Elbasani51317:76
6Tirana51228:95
7Partizani51137:104
8Vora51133:104

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.