Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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Egnatia — Teuta Durres, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Egnatia
2.7WLWWL
Teuta Durres
1.9WWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%29%25%
Egnatia46%Draw29%Teuta Durres25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Egnatia2.18—
XDraw3.48—
2Teuta Durres3.94—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEgnatiaTeuta DurresCombined
Goals scored0.331.171.50
Conceded0.170.170.34
Corners11.09.010.0
Cards1.00.71.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
EgnatiaTeuta Durres
KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 46%, KS Teuta Durrës 25%. The safest is “KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw” at 73%.
KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 46%Draw 29%KS Teuta Durrës 25%
1st half
35 · 40 · 25
2nd half
33 · 42 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Egnatia
- homePartizani2:1
- awayElbasani1:2
- homeSkenderbeu Korce2:1
- awayVora3:1
- awayLillestrom1:2
Teuta Durres
- awayVllaznia2:0
- homeVora2:0
- awayLaci3:1
- homeTirana3:1
- awayPartizani0:0
Head to head
- 05/10/26Superliga2:3
- 03/09/26Superliga4:2
- 12/23/25Superliga1:0
- 10/28/25Superliga1:0
- 04/27/25Superliga1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Teuta Durres541010:213
Teuta Durres541010:2132Egnatia540111:512
Egnatia540111:5123
Dinamo Tirana540110:512
Dinamo Tirana540110:5124
Laci52127:87
Laci52127:87Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.