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Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali: result 0:1

Colombia, Primera AMatch finished

Final score 0:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Independiente Santa Fe 53%, draw 26%, Deportivo Cali 21%.

0:1HT 0:1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
53%26%21%
Independiente Santa FePrice 1.9953%DrawPrice 3.1326%Deportivo CaliPrice 3.8821%
Line-upsIndependiente Santa Fe4-3-3—Deportivo Cali4-4-2

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Independiente Santa Fe4-3-3Deportivo Cali4-4-2

Independiente Santa Fe4-3-3

Coach: P. Repetto

Starting XI

  • 1GKColombiaA. Mosquera
  • 13DFColombiaH. Palacios
  • 18DFArgentinaE. Olivera
  • 3DFColombiaV. Moreno
  • 32DFColombiaC. Mafla
  • 7MFColombiaJ. Torres
  • 9MFUruguayF. Fagúndez
  • 16MFColombiaD. Torres
  • 77FWColombiaJ. Obrian
  • 11FWColombiaH. Rodallega
  • 10FWColombiaA. Zapata

Substitutes

  • 19FWArgentinaN. Bustos
  • 12GKColombiaW. Asprilla
  • 24DFColombiaJeison Angulo
  • 43DFJ. Caicedo
  • 17FWArgentinaM. Lovera
  • 14FWColombiaL. Palacios
  • 39MFCristhian Portocarrero
  • 15DFColombiaI. Scarpeta
  • 6FWColombiaK. Toscano

Deportivo Cali4-4-2

Coach: R. Dudamel

Starting XI

  • 38GKColombiaA. Rodríguez
  • 15DFColombiaL. Chaverra
  • 12DFColombiaJ. Caldera
  • 4DFColombiaFernando Antonio Álvarez Amador
  • 28DFColombiaE. Velasco
  • 27MFColombiaF. Viáfara
  • 5MFColombiaG. Cuéllar
  • 8MFColombiaD. Giraldo
  • 20MFVenezuelaE. Bello
  • 19FWColombiaJ. Martínez
  • 9FWArgentinaJ. Dinenno

Substitutes

  • 14MFColombiaA. Castillo Manyoma
  • 70FWColombiaC. Bacca
  • 43MFSantiago Martinez
  • 32GKSantiago Mondragón Alzate
  • 26DFColombiaJ. Tello
  • 2DFColombiaJ. Moya
  • 10MFArgentinaE. Reynoso
  • 23FWColombiaS. Rodríguez
  • 16DFColombiaK. Sandoval

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.31xG1.37
55Possession, %45
19Shots9
5Shots on target4
9Corners3
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
11Fouls9
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 141 of 186void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Independiente Santa Fe53%

    Actual: Deportivo Cali — we had 21%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.551%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 49%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    No59%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Independiente Santa Fe53%48%1.901.99+5.0
XDraw26%29%3.793.13-2.9
2Deportivo Cali21%23%4.753.88-2.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Independiente Santa Fe

  • awayAtletico Nacional0:2
  • homeBucaramanga2:1
  • awayLlaneros0:1
  • homeJaguares de Cordoba2:1
  • awayIndependiente Medellin1:0

Deportivo Cali

  • homeBoyaca Chico2:0
  • awayFortaleza CEIF1:1
  • awayLlaneros3:0
  • homeJunior0:0
  • awayDeportivo Pereira0:0

Head to head

  • 09/23/26Primera A0:1
  • 03/19/26Primera A1:1
  • 11/10/25Primera A1:0
  • 05/17/25Primera A2:0
  • 08/21/24Primera A3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Atletico Nacional41293981:3490
2America de Cali37208957:3268
3Independiente Santa Fe391615858:4163
4Deportivo Cali361612846:2660
5Junior4216121461:5560
6Once Caldas381416854:4358

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.