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GKS Katowice 3:2 Cracovia Krakow, Ekstraklasa: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Poland, EkstraklasaMatch finished

2.2WLLWW
3:2HT 0:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
53%26%21%
GKS KatowicePrice 2.2053%DrawPrice 3.4626%Cracovia KrakowPrice 2.9721%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.19xG1.58
63Possession, %37
22Shots16
5Shots on target3
3Corners1
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
11Fouls11
0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 76 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    GKS Katowice53%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.553%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes55%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1GKS Katowice53%43%1.882.20+10.5
XDraw26%26%3.863.46-0.3
2Cracovia Krakow21%31%4.802.97-10.1

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

GKS Katowice

  • homeWidzew Lodz3:2
  • awayKorona Kielce0:1
  • homePogon Szczecin0:1
  • homeWieczysta Krakow2:1
  • awayRakow4:1

Cracovia Krakow

  • homeMotor Lublin1:2
  • awayPiast Gliwice1:3
  • homeLegia Warsaw1:1
  • homeZaglebie Lubin3:1
  • awayGKS Katowice2:3

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Ekstraklasa3:2
  • 03/21/26Ekstraklasa0:1
  • 09/19/25Ekstraklasa0:3
  • 05/11/25Ekstraklasa2:1
  • 11/09/24Ekstraklasa4:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Legia Warsaw1366123:1124
4Pogon Szczecin1173119:924
5GKS Katowice1370625:1921
6Piast Gliwice1363424:2021
7Wisla Krakow1363420:1821
8Zaglebie Lubin1254315:1519
9Jagiellonia1260617:1818
10Korona Kielce1253414:1818
11Motor Lublin1344519:2216
12Wisla Plock1243512:1815
13Cracovia Krakow1333715:2112
14Widzew Lodz1318417:1911
15Slask Wroclaw1223716:229

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.