All matches

GKS Katowice — Widzew Lodz, Ekstraklasa

Poland, Ekstraklasa

GKS Katowice
2.1WLLWW
—
Widzew Lodz
1.6DDDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%25%25%
GKS Katowice50%Draw25%Widzew Lodz25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1GKS Katowice50%2.02—
XDraw25%3.98—
2Widzew Lodz25%3.96—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67

No40%

ours 2.50

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGKS KatowiceWidzew LodzCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners7.011.09.0
Cards0.52.73.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GKS KatowiceWidzew Lodz

GKS Katowice 50%, RTS Widzew Łódź 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

GKS Katowice 50%Draw 25%RTS Widzew Łódź 25%
1st half
36 · 36 · 27
2nd half
38 · 39 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

GKS Katowice

  • homeCracovia Krakow3:2
  • awayZaglebie Lubin1:2
  • awayPiast Gliwice0:3
  • awayGornik Zabrze3:2
  • homeWisla Plock5:0

Widzew Lodz

  • homeWieczysta Krakow2:2
  • awayLegia Warsaw1:1
  • homeRadomiak Radom0:0
  • homeLech Poznan2:3
  • awaySlask Wroclaw3:3

Head to head

  • 02/08/26Ekstraklasa1:0
  • 08/02/25Ekstraklasa0:3
  • 03/15/25Ekstraklasa0:1
  • 09/13/24Ekstraklasa2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Zaglebie Lubin943211:1015
8Piast Gliwice941416:1513
9GKS Katowice840416:1312
10Jagiellonia840412:1312
11Wisla Plock83239:1211
12Widzew Lodz916213:139
13Cracovia Krakow92259:148
14Radomiak Radom92257:208

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.