Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.24
All matches
—
Genclerbirligi — Alanyaspor, Süper Lig
Turkey, Süper Lig
Genclerbirligi
1.5LLLDW
Alanyaspor
1.8WDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%27%34%
Genclerbirligi39%Draw27%Alanyaspor34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Genclerbirligi2.59—
XDraw3.71—
2Alanyaspor2.91—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGenclerbirligiAlanyasporCombined
Goals scored0.170.831.00
Conceded1.830.502.33
Corners12.011.011.5
Cards1.71.02.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GenclerbirligiAlanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği 39%, Alanyaspor 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Gençlerbirliği 39%Draw 27%Alanyaspor 34%
1st half
31 · 39 · 30
2nd half
31 · 40 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Genclerbirligi
- awayIstanbul Basaksehir0:4
- homeKasimpasa1:2
- awayTrabzonspor0:5
- homeErzurumspor1:1
- awayGoztepe1:0
Alanyaspor
- awayCorum FK2:1
- homeGoztepe2:2
- awayCaykur Rizespor1:0
- awayEyupspor1:2
- homeBesiktas1:0
Head to head
- 03/09/26Süper Lig0:0
- 10/04/25Süper Lig2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Besiktas640214:712
Besiktas640214:7124
Kocaelispor64027:412
Kocaelispor64027:4125Alanyaspor63218:611
Alanyaspor63218:6116
Fenerbahce631216:610
Fenerbahce631216:6107
Trabzonspor631213:510
Trabzonspor631213:5108
Kasimpasa62407:510
Kasimpasa62407:5109
Caykur Rizespor63127:610
Caykur Rizespor63127:61010
Gaziantep62227:78
Gaziantep62227:7811
Corum FK621313:127
Corum FK621313:12712
Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
Istanbul Basaksehir621310:11713Genclerbirligi62135:137
Genclerbirligi62135:13714
Erzurumspor62133:117
Erzurumspor62133:11715
Konyaspor61144:84
Konyaspor61144:84Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.