Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.04
No51%
ours 1.96
All matches
—
Alanyaspor — Kocaelispor, Süper Lig
Turkey, Süper Lig
Alanyaspor
1.8WDWLW
Kocaelispor
1.8WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%28%26%
Alanyaspor46%Draw28%Kocaelispor26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Alanyaspor2.16—
XDraw3.57—
2Kocaelispor3.90—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAlanyasporKocaelisporCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.830.331.16
Corners9.08.88.9
Cards1.01.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AlanyasporKocaelispor
Alanyaspor 46%, Kocaelispor Kulübü 26%. The safest is “Alanyaspor or draw” at 75%.
Alanyaspor 46%Draw 28%Kocaelispor Kulübü 26%
1st half
36 · 44 · 19
2nd half
31 · 42 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Alanyaspor
- awayCorum FK2:1
- homeGoztepe2:2
- awayCaykur Rizespor1:0
- awayEyupspor1:2
- homeBesiktas1:0
Kocaelispor
- homeGaziantep2:0
- awayGalatasaray0:1
- homeSamsunspor1:0
- awayKonyaspor2:1
- homeAmedspor2:0
Head to head
- 03/18/26Süper Lig5:0
- 10/25/25Süper Lig0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Galatasaray641113:1013
Galatasaray641113:10133
Besiktas640214:712
Besiktas640214:7124Kocaelispor64027:412
Kocaelispor64027:4125Alanyaspor63218:611
Alanyaspor63218:6116
Fenerbahce631216:610
Fenerbahce631216:6107
Trabzonspor631213:510
Trabzonspor631213:510Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.