All matches

Konyaspor — Gaziantep, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

1.7WLDDW
  
1.4LLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%27%22%
Konyaspor51%Draw27%Gaziantep22%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Konyaspor51%1.98—
XDraw27%3.68—
2Gaziantep22%4.50—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.85

No46%

ours 2.18

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KonyasporGaziantep

Konyaspor 51%, Gaziantep FK 22%. The safest is “Konyaspor or draw” at 78%.

Konyaspor 51%Draw 27%Gaziantep FK 22%
1st half
36 · 41 · 23
2nd half
41 · 35 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKonyasporGaziantepCombined
Goals scored0.600.401.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Konyaspor
  • 4 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 0:1, 0:0, 0:0, 1:0
  • 2 goals or fewer in 5 of the last 5
  • 17th of 18 for shots — 11.0 per match18 teams in the league
Gaziantep
  • 4 defeats in a row1:3, 1:2, 0:3, 0:2, 0:0
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches1:3, 1:2, 0:3, 0:2, 0:0
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Konyaspor

  • homeGenclerbirligi2:0
  • awayAmedspor0:1
  • homeIstanbul Basaksehir0:0
  • awayKasimpasa0:0
  • homeTrabzonspor1:0

Gaziantep

  • homeErzurumspor1:3
  • awayIstanbul Basaksehir1:2
  • homeCorum FK0:3
  • awayKocaelispor0:2
  • homeFenerbahce0:0

Head to head

  • 01/25/26Süper Lig1:1
  • 08/17/25Süper Lig3:0
  • 03/28/25Süper Lig1:0
  • 10/27/24Süper Lig1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Istanbul Basaksehir932412:1411
13Caykur Rizespor931511:1510
14Konyaspor92256:98
15Gaziantep92259:158
16Genclerbirligi92257:188
17Samsunspor91178:214

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.