Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima: result 2:2
Final score 2:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Deportes Tolima 45%, draw 30%, Fortaleza CEIF 25%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsFortaleza CEIF4-2-3-1—Deportes Tolima4-2-3-1
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Fortaleza CEIF4-2-3-1
Coach: Diego Arias
Starting XI
1GKW. Barlasina
16DFJ. Cajares
6DFY. Díaz
5DFJ. Medina Obando15DFS. Cuero
28MFS. Vivas13MFBrandón Andrés Mejía Fajardo25MFJ. Garcia32MFMariano Vázquez8MFS. Navarro
9FWJ. Herrera
Substitutes
29FW
T. Wilke Braams35DFAdrian Mosquera Rentería7FWÍ. Montaño
2MFAndres Mosquera14MFL. Pico
19FWF. Pulicastro
24FWJ. Salas
12GKC. Santander
27FWJ. Sinisterra
Deportes Tolima4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Oliveros
Starting XI
1GKNeto Volpi
17DFC. Arrieta
3DFJ. Angulo
2DFA. Angulo
20DFJ. Hernández
30MFS. P. Barbosa Gomez14MFH. Martínez
24MFA. Parra
8MFE. Valencia
28MFE. López
15FWS. Aguayo
Substitutes
32MFS. Guzmán
21DFA. Ibarguen13GK
M. Ortega4DFD. Pedrozo
80MFB. Rovira
9FWL. Sandoval
29FWNéifer Sánchez7FWJ. Cabezas
10MFL. Sánchez
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedDeportes Tolima45%
Actual: Draw — we had 30%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.564%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 36%
- Both teams to score MissedNo60%
Actual: Yes — we had 40%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Fortaleza CEIF
- awayAmerica de Cali1:2
- homeDeportivo Cali1:1
- awayInter Bogotá1:2
- homeMillonarios1:1
- awayPasto0:0
Deportes Tolima
- homePasto0:1
- awayRionegro Aguilas1:2
- awayJaguares de Cordoba2:3
- awayAtletico Nacional0:0
- homeBoyaca Chico0:0
Head to head
- 09/27/26Primera A2:2
- 03/19/26Primera A0:2
- 12/08/25Primera A0:1
- 11/18/25Primera A0:1
- 08/31/25Primera A1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Colombia, Primera A: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


