Fortaleza CEIF 1:4 Junior, Primera A: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Colombia, Primera A20 September at 19:00Match finished

1.5LDLDD

1:4HT 0:2

2.3LDWDD

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished 20 September at 16:16

33%29%38%

Fortaleza CEIF33%Draw29%Junior38%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.05xG1.39

41Possession, %59

8Shots8

2Shots on target6

2Corners1

2Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

15Fouls20

1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3

Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score

All forecast types: landed 66 of 100

Match result Landed
Junior38%
Total goals Missed
Under 2.558%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 42%
Both teams to score Missed
No52%
Actual: Yes — we had 48%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ

1Fortaleza CEIF33%3.04—

XDraw29%3.44—

2Junior38%2.63—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Fortaleza CEIF

awayAmerica de Cali1:2
homeDeportivo Cali1:1
awayInter Bogotá1:2
homeMillonarios1:1
awayPasto0:0

Junior

awayLlaneros2:3
awayBoyaca Chico1:1
homeRionegro Aguilas1:0
awayDeportivo Cali0:0
homeDeportivo Pereira1:1

Head to head

09/20/26Primera A1:4
03/16/26Primera A1:2
11/08/25Primera A1:1
05/16/25Primera A1:2
08/17/24Primera A1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts

3

Independiente Santa Fe391615858:4163

4

Deportivo Cali361612846:2660

5

Junior4216121461:5560

6

Once Caldas381416854:4358

7

Deportes Tolima3915121249:4057

8

Millonarios351313955:3752

9

Bucaramanga351215851:3651

10

Independiente Medellin351471449:4849

11

Rionegro Aguilas3512121141:4548

12

Inter Bogotá3811151249:5848

13

Pasto371371740:5246

14

Llaneros3610121436:4342

15

Cucuta Deportivo359101640:5937

16

Alianza Valledupar358111629:5435

17

Fortaleza CEIF356161339:5134

18

Boyaca Chico36962128:6033

19

Jaguares de Cordoba35872037:6231

More matches in this competition

Colombia, Primera A: upcoming and recently played.

All competition matches →

Upcoming

41′Independiente Medellin

Alianza Valledupar652114pre-match forecast 21:0502.11Rionegro Aguilas

Fortaleza CEIF492724 01:1503.11Bucaramanga

Atletico Nacional302742 20:3003.11Deportivo Pereira

Deportes Tolima152262 23:2003.11Pasto

Jaguares de Cordoba592417

Played

21:0501.11Deportivo Cali

Boyaca Chico78157✓23:0031.10Llaneros

Junior342838×01:0531.10Bucaramanga

Pasto592516✓

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.