Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.97
No49%
ours 2.03
All matches
Van — Pyunik, Premier League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
16%23%60%
Van16%Draw23%Pyunik60%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Van6.12—
XDraw4.28—
2Pyunik1.66—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
VanPyunik
FK Van 16%, Pyunik FC 60%. The safest is “Pyunik FC or draw” at 84%.
FK Van 16%Draw 23%Pyunik FC 60%
1st half
16 · 44 · 40
2nd half
24 · 33 · 43
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVanPyunikCombined
Goals scored1.602.804.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Van- Worst defence in the league — 27 conceded in 11 matches9th place, 10 points
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
Pyunik- Unbeaten in 12 matches3:0, 1:1, 5:0, 3:3, 2:0
- Unbeaten away in 6 matches1:1, 3:3, 4:2, 0:0, 2:0
- 3 clean sheets in the last 53:0, 1:1, 5:0, 3:3, 2:0
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Van
- homeArarat Yerevan2:1
- awayUrartu2:5
- homeGandzasar Kapan2:0
- awayNoah0:2
- homeBKMA2:1
Pyunik
- homeGandzasar Kapan3:0
- awayNoah1:1
- homeBKMA5:0
- awayAlashkert3:3
- homeShirak2:0
Head to head
- 08/09/26Premier League0:3
- 05/27/26Premier League1:2
- 10/18/25Premier League2:1
- 10/04/25Premier League1:5
- 05/23/25Premier League3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Armenia, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.